Weather in Waren

Forecast: MOSMIX (DWD-Statistik über ICON + ECMWF) · Run 08.11. 22:00 Uhr · Station WAREN (1,0 km from the centre) · own station correction +1,7 °C (from our station comparison). We show where our data comes from – and how often we get it wrong. Measured against official stations, we were recently off by ±1,4 °C here (up to 24 h), rain forecast 99 % correct.
Today: settled weather – historically easy to forecast.
We beat the "same as yesterday" rule of thumb by 8 %.

Now · as of 05:00

5°bedeckt

Later today

High · 14:00 Uhr6° Low4°

7 km/h aus SO 97 % 84 % 1025 hPa Rain last 24 h 0,0 mm (measured, as of 04:00) 07:24 16:21 new moon

Rain Radar

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The next few days

Day	Min	Max	Risk	Sun
Mo, 09.11.	4°	6°	8 %	0,6 h	07:24	16:21
Di, 10.11.	4°	7° 14:00	15 %	2,8 h	07:26	16:19
Mi, 11.11.	4°	6° 14:00	19 %	1,1 h	07:28	16:17
Do, 12.11.	4°	6° 14:00	16 %	0,8 h	07:30	16:16
Fr, 13.11.	4°	7° 14:00	14 %	4,0 h	07:32	16:14
Sa, 14.11.	3°	8° 15:00	9 %	3,9 h	07:34	16:13
So, 15.11.	5°	7° 14:00	10 %	2,2 h	07:36	16:11
Mo, 16.11.	5°	7° 15:00	13 %	2,2 h	07:38	16:10
Di, 17.11.	6°	8° 14:00	15 %	1,9 h	07:39	16:08
Mi, 18.11.	6°	8° 14:00	18 %	1,7 h	07:41	16:07

Outlook: the next few weeks

A genuine day-by-day forecast only reaches about 10 days out – anything beyond that is statistics, not a forecast. That's why we don't show a 30- or 90-day outlook. What can be honestly stated is the long-term normal: in Waren the average temperature in November is 4,9 °C, in December it's 1,8 °C (1991-2020 climate mean for the local climate station, see below). We show openly how often our forecast actually holds up.

How reliable is the forecast?

How our forecast daily high has shifted across recent runs. Flat line = the forecast is holding, jittery = still shifting.

Mo, 09.11.6° wackelt noch (±1,0 °C über 12 Läufe)

Di, 10.11.7° stabil (±0,6 °C über 12 Läufe)

Mi, 11.11.6° wackelt noch (±1,1 °C über 12 Läufe)

Do, 12.11.6° wackelt noch (±1,7 °C über 12 Läufe)

Today at a glanceMo, 09.11.

Garden Frost risk!

Low of 0,8 °C in 48 h, 0,0 mm rain in 24 h. Spray/watering window: 05:00 to 04:00 (48 h) – dry, calm, stays dry afterwards. Product-dependent – check the label.

Outdoors dry

05:00 to 04:00 (48 h) · gusts up to 15 km/h.

Pollen no load

Region Mecklenburg-Vorpommern · As of 08.11., 11:00 Uhr · DWD pollen forecast

Balcony solar: today ≈ 0,39 kWh per kWp, tomorrow 0,79 kWh · Best 2 h for high loads today: 13:00 to 14:00 (south, vertical) – adjust to your orientation in the app.

Climate in Waren (1991-2020)

The warmest month in Waren is Juli (avg 18,6 °C), the coldest is Januar (avg 0,7 °C). The most rain falls in Juli (avg 70,0 mm), the least in April (avg 32,0 mm). The sunniest month is Mai (avg 237,0 h).

Annual mean 9,3 °C, 592 mm precipitation, 1733 hours of sunshine. Weather station Waren (Müritz) (1,0 km away).

Record on 09.11.: 15,6 °C (2022), coldest value -7,8 °C (1908), highest rainfall 22,3 mm (1957) – series since 1889

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