Weather in Varel

Forecast: MOSMIX (DWD-Statistik über ICON + ECMWF) · Run 09.10. 23:00 Uhr · Station ZETEL (9,9 km from the centre). We show where our data comes from – and how often we get it wrong. Measured against official stations, we were recently off by ±1,4 °C on average (up to 24 h), rain forecast 88 % correct.
Today: showery weather – we're typically off by ±1,5 °C on days like this (±1,5 °C on settled days). Honest.
We beat the "same as yesterday" rule of thumb by 43 %.

Now · as of 06:00

10°heiter

Later today

High · 13:00 Uhr13° Low9°

13 km/h aus SW 52 % 93 % 1004 hPa 07:46 18:42 new moon

Rain Radar

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The next few days

Day	Min	Max	Rain	Risk	Sun
Sa, 10.10.	9°	13°	6,5 mm	53 %	4,3 h	07:46	18:42
So, 11.10.	8°	13° 15:00	6,8 mm	54 %	4,3 h	07:48	18:40
Mo, 12.10.	6°	14° 16:00	0,0 mm	20 %	4,7 h	07:50	18:37
Di, 13.10.	8°	14° 16:00	0,0 mm	18 %	2,2 h	07:52	18:35
Mi, 14.10.	11°	17° 16:00	0,0 mm	15 %	4,3 h	07:54	18:33
Do, 15.10.	12°	18° 16:00	0,0 mm	13 %	3,5 h	07:56	18:31
Fr, 16.10.	13°	16° 15:00	0,0 mm	15 %	3,1 h	07:57	18:28
Sa, 17.10.	11°	14° 15:00	0,0 mm	14 %	3,4 h	07:59	18:26
So, 18.10.	10°	14° 15:00	0,0 mm	19 %	3,5 h	08:01	18:24
Mo, 19.10.	10°	13° 15:00	0,0 mm	22 %	3,2 h	08:03	18:22

Outlook: the next few weeks

A genuine day-by-day forecast only reaches about 10 days out – anything beyond that is statistics, not a forecast. That's why we don't show a 30- or 90-day outlook. What can be honestly stated is the long-term normal: in Varel the average temperature in October is 10,5 °C, in November it's 6,4 °C (1991-2020 climate mean for the local climate station, see below). We show openly how often our forecast actually holds up.

How reliable is the forecast?

How our forecast daily high has shifted across recent runs. Flat line = the forecast is holding, jittery = still shifting.

Sa, 10.10.13° stabil (±0,4 °C über 12 Läufe)

So, 11.10.13° stabil (±0,2 °C über 12 Läufe)

Mo, 12.10.14° stabil (±0,2 °C über 12 Läufe)

Di, 13.10.14° stabil (±0,3 °C über 12 Läufe)

Today at a glanceSa, 10.10.

Garden no frost

Low of 6,1 °C in 48 h, 8,2 mm rain in 24 h. Spray/watering window: 19:00 to 05:00 (11 h) – dry, calm, stays dry afterwards. Product-dependent – check the label.

Outdoors dry

19:00 to 05:00 (11 h) · gusts up to 41 km/h.

Pollen no load

Region Westl. Niedersachsen/Bremen · As of 09.10., 11:00 Uhr · DWD pollen forecast

Balcony solar: today ≈ 1,84 kWh per kWp, tomorrow 2,06 kWh · Best 2 h for high loads today: 13:00 to 14:00 (south, vertical) – adjust to your orientation in the app.

Climate in Varel (1991-2020)

The warmest month in Varel is Juli (avg 17,9 °C), the coldest is Januar (avg 2,7 °C). The most rain falls in Dezember (avg 84,0 mm), the least in April (avg 40,9 mm). The sunniest month is Mai (avg 223,4 h).

Annual mean 9,9 °C, 829 mm precipitation, 1630 hours of sunshine. Weather station Wilhelmshaven (Flugplatz) (15,3 km away).

Record on 10.10.: 23,1 °C (1969), coldest value 1,5 °C (1975), highest rainfall 13,4 mm (1973) – series since 1966

Weather nearby

Wilhelmshaven · Bad Zwischenahn · Nordenham · Oldenburg · Bremerhaven · Aurich · all towns