Weather in Schmallenberg

Forecast: MOSMIX (DWD-Statistik über ICON + ECMWF) · Run 04.10. 23:00 Uhr · Station SCHMALLENBERG (0,5 km from the centre). We show where our data comes from – and how often we get it wrong. Measured against official stations, we were recently off by ±1,5 °C on average (up to 24 h), rain forecast 96 % correct.
Today: settled weather – historically easy to forecast.
We beat the "same as yesterday" rule of thumb by 31 %.

Now · as of 06:00

9°heiter

Later today

High · 15:00 Uhr19° Low9°

2 km/h aus NW 49 % 94 % 1027 hPa 07:34 18:55 last quarter

Rain Radar

Full view with all layers →

The next few days

Day	Min	Max	Rain	Risk	Sun
Mo, 05.10.	9°	19°	0,0 mm	2 %	7,3 h	07:34	18:55
Di, 06.10.	8°	18° 16:00	0,0 mm	1 %	7,5 h	07:36	18:53
Mi, 07.10.	8°	19° 16:00	2,2 mm	60 %	6,1 h	07:38	18:50
Do, 08.10.	7°	14° 00:00	13,2 mm	71 %	0,7 h	07:39	18:48
Fr, 09.10.	6°	10° 17:00	5,4 mm	52 %	1,6 h	07:41	18:46
Sa, 10.10.	9°	11° 13:00	10,6 mm	65 %	1,5 h	07:43	18:44
So, 11.10.	8°	12° 14:00	6,5 mm	48 %	1,1 h	07:44	18:42
Mo, 12.10.	9°	12° 14:00	8,4 mm	63 %	1,1 h	07:46	18:40
Di, 13.10.	10°	14° 14:00	7,1 mm	58 %	2,3 h	07:48	18:37
Mi, 14.10.	11°	15° 15:00	1,8 mm	55 %	2,6 h	07:49	18:35

Outlook: the next few weeks

A genuine day-by-day forecast only reaches about 10 days out – anything beyond that is statistics, not a forecast. That's why we don't show a 30- or 90-day outlook. What can be honestly stated is the long-term normal: in Schmallenberg the average temperature in October is 7,1 °C, in November it's 3,1 °C (1991-2020 climate mean for the local climate station, see below). We show openly how often our forecast actually holds up.

How reliable is the forecast?

How our forecast daily high has shifted across recent runs. Flat line = the forecast is holding, jittery = still shifting.

Mo, 05.10.19° stabil (±0,5 °C über 12 Läufe)

Di, 06.10.18° stabil (±0,8 °C über 12 Läufe)

Mi, 07.10.19° wackelt noch (±1,0 °C über 12 Läufe)

Do, 08.10.14° wackelt noch (±1,1 °C über 12 Läufe)

Today at a glanceMo, 05.10.

Garden no frost

Low of 5,5 °C in 48 h, 0,0 mm rain in 24 h. Spray/watering window: 06:00 to 05:00 (48 h) – dry, calm, stays dry afterwards. Product-dependent – check the label.

Outdoors dry

06:00 to 05:00 (48 h) · gusts up to 22 km/h.

Pollen no load

Region Mittelgebirge NRW · As of 04.10., 11:00 Uhr · DWD pollen forecast

Balcony solar: today ≈ 3,82 kWh per kWp, tomorrow 3,88 kWh · Best 2 h for high loads today: 14:00 to 15:00 (south, vertical) – adjust to your orientation in the app.

Climate in Schmallenberg (1991-2020)

The warmest month in Schmallenberg is Juli (avg 15,5 °C), the coldest is Januar (avg -0,7 °C). The most rain falls in Dezember (avg 122,7 mm), the least in April (avg 63,3 mm). The sunniest month is Juli (avg 193,1 h).

Annual mean 7,1 °C, 1097 mm precipitation, 1425 hours of sunshine. Weather station Altastenberg (13,2 km away).

Record on 05.10.: 20,2 °C (1942), coldest value -2,9 °C (1936), highest rainfall 35,1 mm (2002) – series since 1926

Weather nearby

Lennestadt · Meschede · Sundern · Arnsberg · Kreuztal · Plettenberg · all towns