EhrlichWetter

bedeckt Weather in Espelkamp

Forecast: MOSMIX (DWD-Statistik über ICON + ECMWF) · Run 03.10. 23:00 Uhr · Station ESPELKAMP-ISENSTEDT (3,9 km from the centre) · own station correction +0,2 °C (from our station comparison). We show where our data comes from – and how often we get it wrong. Measured against official stations, we were recently off by ±1,2 °C here (up to 24 h), rain forecast 88 % correct.
Today: settled weather – historically easy to forecast.
We beat the "same as yesterday" rule of thumb by 36 %.
Now · as of 06:00

7°bedeckt

Later today
High · 16:00 Uhr19° Low7°

Wind 2 km/h aus S Cloud cover 79 % Humidity 99 % Air pressure 1029 hPa Rain measured Rain last 24 h 0,0 mm (measured, as of 05:00) Sunrise 07:32 Sunset 18:55 Moon phase last quarter

Rain Radar

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The next few days

DayMinMaxRainRiskSunSunriseSunset
So, 04.10.7°19°0,0 mm2 %5,4 h07:3218:55
Mo, 05.10.8°20° 16:000,0 mm1 %6,0 h07:3418:52
Di, 06.10.9°20° 16:000,0 mm1 %6,3 h07:3618:50
Mi, 07.10.9°20° 16:002,5 mm39 %4,9 h07:3718:48
Do, 08.10.10°14° 00:0013,3 mm70 %2,3 h07:3918:46
Fr, 09.10.8°13° 15:000,0 mm24 %2,9 h07:4118:43
Sa, 10.10.9°13° 15:000,0 mm30 %2,7 h07:4318:41
So, 11.10.8°14° 16:000,0 mm38 %2,9 h07:4418:39
Mo, 12.10.8°15° 15:000,0 mm21 %2,7 h07:4618:36
Di, 13.10.9°15° 15:000,0 mm20 %3,2 h07:4818:34

Outlook: the next few weeks

A genuine day-by-day forecast only reaches about 10 days out – anything beyond that is statistics, not a forecast. That's why we don't show a 30- or 90-day outlook. What can be honestly stated is the long-term normal: in Espelkamp the average temperature in October is 10,1 °C, in November it's 6,1 °C (1991-2020 climate mean for the local climate station, see below). We show openly how often our forecast actually holds up.

How reliable is the forecast?

How our forecast daily high has shifted across recent runs. Flat line = the forecast is holding, jittery = still shifting.

So, 04.10.19° wackelt noch (±1,2 °C über 12 Läufe)
Mo, 05.10.20° stabil (±0,6 °C über 12 Läufe)
Di, 06.10.20° stabil (±0,5 °C über 12 Läufe)
Mi, 07.10.20° wackelt noch (±1,5 °C über 12 Läufe)
Today at a glanceSo, 04.10.
Garden no frost

Low of 2,9 °C in 48 h, 0,0 mm rain in 24 h. Spray/watering window: 06:00 to 05:00 (48 h) – dry, calm, stays dry afterwards. Product-dependent – check the label.

Outdoors dry

06:00 to 05:00 (48 h) · gusts up to 15 km/h.

Pollen no load

Region Ostwestfalen · As of 03.10., 11:00 Uhr · DWD pollen forecast

Balcony solar: today ≈ 2,85 kWh per kWp, tomorrow 3,10 kWh · Best 2 h for high loads today: 14:00 to 15:00 (south, vertical) – adjust to your orientation in the app.

Climate in Espelkamp (1991-2020)

The warmest month in Espelkamp is Juli (avg 18,5 °C), the coldest is Januar (avg 2,3 °C). The most rain falls in August (avg 73,8 mm), the least in April (avg 36,1 mm). The sunniest month is Juli (avg 203,0 h).

Annual mean 9,9 °C, 641 mm precipitation, 1545 hours of sunshine, 62 frost days. Weather station Rahden-Kleinendorf (7,5 km away).

Record on 04.10.: 26,0 °C (1983), coldest value -0,2 °C (1989), highest rainfall 15,6 mm (2019) – series since 1951

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