EhrlichWetter

bedeckt Weather in Elmshorn

Forecast: MOSMIX (DWD-Statistik über ICON + ECMWF) · Run 09.08. 23:00 Uhr · Station UETERSEN (7,3 km from the centre). We show where our data comes from – and how often we get it wrong. Measured against official stations, we were recently off by ±1,4 °C on average (up to 24 h), rain forecast 97 % correct.
Today: frontal passage – we're typically off by ±1,6 °C on days like this (±1,4 °C on settled days). Honest.
We beat the "same as yesterday" rule of thumb by 56 %.
Now · as of 06:00

15°bedeckt

Later today
High · 15:00 Uhr20° Low13°

Wind 4 km/h aus SW Cloud cover 88 % Humidity 87 % Air pressure 1011 hPa Sunrise 05:52 Sunset 21:00 Moon phase waning crescent (9 %)

Rain Radar

Full view with all layers →

The next few days

DayMinMaxRainRiskSunSunriseSunset
Mo, 10.08.13°20°2,3 mm33 %4,2 h05:5221:00
Di, 11.08.11°18° 16:000,0 mm6 %7,2 h05:5420:58
Mi, 12.08.23° 17:000,0 mm2 %11,5 h05:5620:56
Do, 13.08.12°28° 17:000,0 mm3 %13,0 h05:5820:54
Fr, 14.08.14°29° 16:000,0 mm5 %12,3 h05:5920:52
Sa, 15.08.16°24° 15:000,0 mm11 %8,2 h06:0120:50
So, 16.08.14°22° 16:000,0 mm11 %6,2 h06:0320:47
Mo, 17.08.12°21° 16:000,0 mm16 %5,8 h06:0520:45
Di, 18.08.12°21° 16:000,0 mm17 %5,8 h06:0620:43
Mi, 19.08.12°20° 16:000,0 mm19 %5,5 h06:0820:41

Outlook: the next few weeks

A genuine day-by-day forecast only reaches about 10 days out – anything beyond that is statistics, not a forecast. That's why we don't show a 30- or 90-day outlook. What can be honestly stated is the long-term normal: in Elmshorn the average temperature in August is 17,5 °C, in September it's 14,0 °C (1991-2020 climate mean for the local climate station, see below). We show openly how often our forecast actually holds up.

How reliable is the forecast?

How our forecast daily high has shifted across recent runs. Flat line = the forecast is holding, jittery = still shifting.

Mo, 10.08.20° stabil (±0,6 °C über 12 Läufe)
Di, 11.08.18° wackelt noch (±0,8 °C über 12 Läufe)
Mi, 12.08.23° stabil (±0,6 °C über 12 Läufe)
Do, 13.08.28° stabil (±0,7 °C über 12 Läufe)
Today at a glanceMo, 10.08.
Garden no frost

Low of 6,5 °C in 48 h, 2,3 mm rain in 24 h. Spray/watering window: 21:00 to 13:00 (17 h) – dry, calm, stays dry afterwards. Product-dependent – check the label.

Outdoors dry

15:00 to 05:00 (39 h) · gusts up to 41 km/h.

Pollen Mugwort: moderate to high load

Also Grasses low to moderate load.

Region Geest, Schleswig-Holstein und Hamburg · As of 09.08., 11:00 Uhr · DWD pollen forecast

Balcony solar: today ≈ 2,15 kWh per kWp, tomorrow 3,01 kWh · Best 2 h for high loads today: 15:00 to 16:00 (south, vertical) – adjust to your orientation in the app.

Climate in Elmshorn (1991-2020)

The warmest month in Elmshorn is Juli (avg 17,8 °C), the coldest is Januar (avg 1,9 °C). The most rain falls in Juli (avg 87,7 mm), the least in April (avg 40,7 mm). The sunniest month is Mai (avg 223,0 h).

Annual mean 9,4 °C, 832 mm precipitation, 1582 hours of sunshine. Weather station Brande-Hörnerkirchen (12,3 km away).

Record on 10.08.: 33,8 °C (1975), coldest value 5,3 °C (1965), highest rainfall 19,8 mm (2011) – series since 1936