Weather in Bautzen

Forecast: MOSMIX (DWD-Statistik über ICON + ECMWF) · Run 03.10. 23:00 Uhr · Station BAUTZEN (2,7 km from the centre) · own station correction +0,3 °C (from our station comparison). We show where our data comes from – and how often we get it wrong. Measured against official stations, we were recently off by ±1,0 °C here (up to 24 h), rain forecast 99 % correct.
Today: settled weather – historically easy to forecast.
We beat the "same as yesterday" rule of thumb by 36 %.

Now · as of 06:00

12°bedeckt

Later today

High · 15:00 Uhr18° Low12°

6 km/h aus S 68 % 90 % 1029 hPa Rain last 24 h 0,0 mm (measured, as of 05:00) 07:08 18:32 last quarter

Rain Radar

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The next few days

Day	Min	Max	Rain	Risk	Sun
So, 04.10.	12°	18°	0,0 mm	7 %	2,5 h	07:08	18:32
Mo, 05.10.	9°	20° 15:00	0,0 mm	1 %	7,5 h	07:10	18:30
Di, 06.10.	10°	21° 16:00	0,0 mm	1 %	8,7 h	07:11	18:28
Mi, 07.10.	11°	21° 15:00	0,0 mm	2 %	8,7 h	07:13	18:26
Do, 08.10.	13°	18° 15:00	3,2 mm	41 %	3,3 h	07:15	18:23
Fr, 09.10.	9°	13° 13:00	0,0 mm	36 %	2,7 h	07:16	18:21
Sa, 10.10.	8°	13° 15:00	0,0 mm	26 %	3,1 h	07:18	18:19
So, 11.10.	9°	13° 16:00	0,0 mm	38 %	2,9 h	07:20	18:17
Mo, 12.10.	9°	14° 15:00	0,0 mm	41 %	4,1 h	07:21	18:15
Di, 13.10.	9°	14° 15:00	0,0 mm	32 %	3,8 h	07:23	18:13

Outlook: the next few weeks

A genuine day-by-day forecast only reaches about 10 days out – anything beyond that is statistics, not a forecast. That's why we don't show a 30- or 90-day outlook. What can be honestly stated is the long-term normal: in Bautzen the average temperature in October is 10,0 °C, in November it's 5,3 °C (1991-2020 climate mean for the local climate station, see below). We show openly how often our forecast actually holds up.

How reliable is the forecast?

How our forecast daily high has shifted across recent runs. Flat line = the forecast is holding, jittery = still shifting.

So, 04.10.18° wackelt noch (±1,2 °C über 12 Läufe)

Mo, 05.10.20° wackelt noch (±1,4 °C über 12 Läufe)

Di, 06.10.21° wackelt noch (±1,1 °C über 12 Läufe)

Mi, 07.10.21° wackelt noch (±1,2 °C über 12 Läufe)

Today at a glanceSo, 04.10.

Garden no frost

Low of 6,4 °C in 48 h, 0,0 mm rain in 24 h. Spray/watering window: 06:00 to 05:00 (48 h) – dry, calm, stays dry afterwards. Product-dependent – check the label.

Outdoors dry

06:00 to 05:00 (48 h) · gusts up to 17 km/h.

Pollen Ragweed: none to low load

Region Tiefland Sachsen · As of 03.10., 11:00 Uhr · DWD pollen forecast

Balcony solar: today ≈ 1,44 kWh per kWp, tomorrow 3,70 kWh · Best 2 h for high loads today: 13:00 to 14:00 (south, vertical) – adjust to your orientation in the app.

Climate in Bautzen (1991-2020)

The warmest month in Bautzen is Juli (avg 19,1 °C), the coldest is Januar (avg 0,5 °C). The most rain falls in Juli (avg 85,0 mm), the least in April (avg 33,6 mm). The sunniest month is Juli (avg 232,1 h).

Annual mean 9,7 °C, 652 mm precipitation, 1720 hours of sunshine, 77 frost days. Weather station Kubschütz, Kr. Bautzen (5,3 km away).

Record on 04.10.: 24,8 °C (1966), coldest value -1,7 °C (1939), highest rainfall 15,0 mm (1978) – series since 1936

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