Weather in Arnstadt

Forecast: MOSMIX (DWD-Statistik über ICON + ECMWF) · Run 05.10. 23:00 Uhr · Station ARNSTADT (1,5 km from the centre). We show where our data comes from – and how often we get it wrong. Measured against official stations, we were recently off by ±1,5 °C on average (up to 24 h), rain forecast 96 % correct.
Today: settled weather – historically easy to forecast.
We beat the "same as yesterday" rule of thumb by 28 %.

Now · as of 06:00

7°klar

Later today

High · 15:00 Uhr20° Low7°

6 km/h aus N 24 % 88 % 1023 hPa 07:25 18:42 waning crescent (25 %)

Rain Radar

Full view with all layers →

The next few days

Day	Min	Max	Rain	Risk	Sun
Di, 06.10.	7°	20°	0,0 mm	2 %	9,5 h	07:25	18:42
Mi, 07.10.	8°	20° 16:00	0,0 mm	2 %	7,4 h	07:27	18:40
Do, 08.10.	9°	13° 04:00	6,2 mm	65 %	1,1 h	07:28	18:38
Fr, 09.10.	6°	11° 16:00	2,0 mm	54 %	2,7 h	07:30	18:36
Sa, 10.10.	9°	12° 14:00	7,6 mm	63 %	2,7 h	07:32	18:33
So, 11.10.	8°	12° 16:00	4,6 mm	52 %	2,9 h	07:33	18:31
Mo, 12.10.	7°	13° 16:00	0,0 mm	35 %	2,9 h	07:35	18:29
Di, 13.10.	8°	15° 15:00	0,0 mm	42 %	2,8 h	07:36	18:27
Mi, 14.10.	10°	15° 16:00	0,0 mm	44 %	2,8 h	07:38	18:25
Do, 15.10.	9°	14° 15:00	0,0 mm	30 %	2,9 h	07:40	18:23

Outlook: the next few weeks

A genuine day-by-day forecast only reaches about 10 days out – anything beyond that is statistics, not a forecast. That's why we don't show a 30- or 90-day outlook. What can be honestly stated is the long-term normal: in Arnstadt the average temperature in October is 8,8 °C, in November it's 4,3 °C (1991-2020 climate mean for the local climate station, see below). We show openly how often our forecast actually holds up.

How reliable is the forecast?

How our forecast daily high has shifted across recent runs. Flat line = the forecast is holding, jittery = still shifting.

Di, 06.10.20° stabil (±0,2 °C über 12 Läufe)

Mi, 07.10.20° stabil (±0,5 °C über 12 Läufe)

Do, 08.10.13° wackelt noch (±1,0 °C über 12 Läufe)

Fr, 09.10.11° wackelt noch (±1,4 °C über 12 Läufe)

Today at a glanceDi, 06.10.

Garden no frost

Low of 4,8 °C in 48 h, 0,0 mm rain in 24 h. No spray window in the next 48 h (Regen zu bald danach). Product-dependent – check the label.

Outdoors dry

06:00 to 02:00 (45 h) · gusts up to 15 km/h.

Pollen no load

Region Mittelgebirge Thüringen · As of 05.10., 11:00 Uhr · DWD pollen forecast

Balcony solar: today ≈ 4,61 kWh per kWp, tomorrow 3,70 kWh · Best 2 h for high loads today: 14:00 to 15:00 (south, vertical) – adjust to your orientation in the app.

Climate in Arnstadt (1991-2020)

The warmest month in Arnstadt is Juli (avg 17,8 °C), the coldest is Januar (avg 0,3 °C). The most rain falls in Juli (avg 67,8 mm), the least in Januar (avg 26,7 mm). The sunniest month is Juli (avg 218,5 h).

Annual mean 8,6 °C, 503 mm precipitation, 1628 hours of sunshine, 94 frost days. Weather station Martinroda (12,9 km away).

Record on 06.10.: 17,0 °C (1981), coldest value -3,4 °C (1936), highest rainfall 45,8 mm (2008) – series since 1936

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